Red vs. Blue

U.S. economic metrics under Democratic vs. Republican presidents

Permutation-based inference across 83 U.S. economic metrics

Metrics sorted by BH-FDR corrected q-value.
Confirmatory (q<0.05) Supportive (q<0.10) Exploratory
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Metric Family Agg Units D mean R mean D-R n(D) n(R) q CI 95%

Methodology: unrestricted permutation test (10,000 shuffles) with Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all metrics in a single universe. Bootstrap 95% CIs (2,000 resamples). See --term-block-years for block-shuffle sensitivity analysis.

For full details see: github.com/wakamex/redvsblue